Is China Winning the Trade War?

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When Trump threatened to start a trade war with China, most economists were sceptical of a Chinese win. But just a few months in and China appears to be winning. In this video, we’re taking a look at the US-China trade war and what might happen next.

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1 – https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart
2 – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China%E2%80%93United_States_trade_war
3 – https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4g2089vznzo
4 – https://www.piie.com/sites/default/files/2024-09/wp24-20.pdf
5 – https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/14/us/politics/trump-trade-war-china-dilemma.html
6 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-16/china-open-to-talks-if-trump-shows-respect-names-point-person
7 – https://news.grabien.com/story/jd-vance-we-borrow-money-from-chinese-peasants-to-buy-things-chinese-p
8 – https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/16/chinese-state-media-tells-trump-to-stop-whining-as-trade-war-spirals
9 – https://theconversation.com/in-trade-war-with-the-us-china-holds-a-lot-more-cards-than-trump-may-think-in-fact-it-might-have-a-winning-hand-254173
10 – https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-04-06/china-has-already-trade-war-proofed-its-economy
11 – https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/business/china-rare-earths-exports.html
12 – https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/why-trump-will-lose-his-trade-war
13 – https://www.ft.com/content/7c0d1b6d-41bd-4bc4-9450-4c0f08484956

0:00 Intro
0:57 Every China/US Tariff So Far
2:45 Why Trump Thought He’d Win
4:55 Why He Isn’t

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